IF THE ELECTION FOR THE VICE PRESIDENT WERE A 12 ROUND BOXING MATCH, HOW DID THE BATTLE BETWEEN MARCOS AND ROBREDO GO PER ROUND (REGIONS/PROVINCE/CITY)?

                                                                                                                  







                                              IF THE ELECTION FOR THE VICE PRESIDENT WERE A 12 ROUND BOXING MATCH, HOW DID THE BATTLE BETWEEN MARCOS AND ROBREDO GO PER ROUND (REGIONS/PROVINCE/CITY)?
 
For posterity, I am sharing the blow by blow account of the Robredo-Marcos match. Some of the 18 regions were grouped together based on population, proximity and similarity to make 11 rounds. The Overseas and Absentee Votes were added as Round 12. Every province won is considered a wallop or an upper cut. A city won is a flurry of jabs.  A 1 million lead in a round constitute a knockdown. A ten-nine point system was applied, with a KO as a minus 1 point. The data was based on the 7:45 PM, May 18, 2016 COMELEC-GMA Mirror Server, representing 96.14 percent of the Election Returns.

As summary, Vice President Leni Robredo won six rounds. She was knocked down twice in the Solid North (2^nd) round. Marcos also won six rounds and was knocked down twice – in the Bicol (5^th) round and the Western Visayas/Negros (6^th) round. Marcos won in rounds 1, 2, 3, 8, 10 and 12 while Robredo got rounds 4, 5, 6, 7, 9 and 11. With two knockdowns each, the score is even at 112-112.

Beyond the scorecards, Robredo won in 10 of 18 regions. She got the most number of votes in Calabarzon (IV-A), Mimaropa (IV-B), Bicol (V), Negros Island (NIG), Western (VI) and Central Visayas (VII), Zamboanga Peninsula (IX), Northern Mindanao (X), Caraga (XIII), and Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (ARMM). Sen. Ferdinand Marcos Jr. prevailed in the National Capital Region (NCR), Cordillera Autonomous Region (CAR), Ilocos Region (I), Cagayan Valley (II), Central Luzon (III), Eastern Visayas (VIII) and Soccsksargen (XII). He was second to Cayetano in the Davao Region (XI).

Of the total 81 provinces, Robredo won in 44 provinces (54%) – 15 out of 38 in Luzon, 14 out of 16 in the Visayas and 15 out of 27 in Mindanao. Marcos won in 37 provinces (46 %) - 23 in Luzon, 2 in the Visayas and 12 in Mindanao.  Of the total 142 cities, Robredo won in 70 cities (49.3%) - 16 out of 71 cities in Luzon, 37 out of 39 in the Visayas and 17 out of 32 in Mindanao. Marcos won in 72 cities (50.7 %) - 55 in Luzon, 2 in the Visayas and 15 in Mindanao.

ROUND 1 – NCR: Marcos -10  Robredo - 9

In the opening round Marcos unfurled a battery of sneaky jabs. Marcos won over Leni in all 16 cities in NCR. Marcos got 2,179,073 votes while Robredo had 1,361,629 for a 817,44) difference. He was top in Manila, Mandaluyong, Pasig, Quezon, Marikina, San Juan, Caloocan, Malabon, Valuenzuela, Navotas, Las Pinas, Pasay, Makati, Muntinlupa, and Paranaque. (He was second to Cayetano in Taguig-Pateros).

ROUND 2 - Solid North (Reg. 1-2 & CAR): Marcos -10 Robredo - 7

Robredo was floored twice in round 2. Marcos won in 14 out of 15 provinces and in all 15 cities in the “solid North.”  He had combined votes of 3,258,246 against Robredo’s 598,549 or a winning margin of 2,659,697 for the two knockdowns. In the Cordillera, Marcos won in Abra, Benguet, Mt. Province, Ifugao, Kalinga and Apayao and the cities of Baguio and Tabuk. In Region I, Marcos clobbered Robredo in the provinces of Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union and Pangasinan and the cities of Laoag and Batac (in I.N.), Candon and Vigan (in IS), San Fernando (LU), Dagupan, San Carlos, Urdaneta, and Alaminos (in P).  In Region II,  Marcos won in the provinces of Cagayan, Isabela, Nueva Vizcaya, and Quirino and the cities of Tuguegarao (Cag.), Cauayan, Santiago and Ilagan (in Is.). Robredo was saved in Batanes.

                                                                   

 ROUND 3 – Central Luzon: Marcos -10;  Robredo - 9

Marcos won in six of seven provinces and 12 out of 13 cities in Central Luzon. Robredo only got one province and its city. Marcos received 2,136,431 votes against Robredo’s 1,334,104 or an 802,327 margin. Marcos won in the provinces of Aurora, Bataan, Bulacan, Pampanga, Nueva Ecija and Zambalez and the cities of Balanga (in Bat.), Malolos, Meycauayan, and San Jose del Monte (in Bul.), Angeles and San Fernando (in Pam.), Cabanatuan, Munoz,  Palayan, Gapan  and San Jose (in NE), and Olongapo (in Zam.). Robredo won only in Tarlac and Tarlac City, the bailiwicks of Pres. Aquino.

ROUND 4 – S. Luzon 4-A (CALABARZON) and 4-B (MIMAROPA): Marcos -9 Robredo - 10

Although beaten in the first three rounds, Robredo came back in this round. Robredo got 2,464,226 against Marcos’s 2,128,476 votes or a Leni lead of 335,750 from 10 provinces and 20 cities of Southern Tagalog/Luzon. In Region IV-A (with a total voting population of 7,619,272) Robredo won despite winning only in two (2) of the five provinces and six (6) of the 18 cities. Marcos won in three provinces and in 12 cities. Robredo won in the provinces of Batangas and Quezon which have a greater combined voting population than the other three provinces. She also got the cities of San Pablo City (Laguna), Batangas, Lipa and Tanauan (in Bat.), Lucena and Tayabas (in Quezon). Marcos  won in  Cavite, Laguna and Rizal and the cities of Bacoor, Cavite, Dasamarinas, General Trias, Imus, Tagaytay, and Trece Martires (in Cav.); Calamba, Binan, San Pedro, and Sta Rosa (in Laguna), and Antipolo (in Rizal).

In MIMAROPA (with a voting population of 264,578) all five (5) provinces and two (2) cities are all for Robredo. She won in Marinduque, the two Mindoros- Occidental and Oriental, Palawan and Romblon and the cities of Calapan (in Min Or) and Puerto Princesa (in Pal.).

ROUND 5 – Bicol Region Marcos -8; Robredo - 10

Marcos was knocked down in this round. In Region V where Leni hails from, she garnered 1,499,923 votes to Bongbong’s 187,235 and won over Bongbong by 1,312,688 votes. She won in all the six provinces of Albay, Camarines Norte and Sur, Catanduanes and Masbate. She was second to Escudero in Sorsogon. She also won in all the seven (7) cities of Legaspi, Tobaco and Ligao (in Albay); Iriga and Naga (in CamSur); and Masbate City; she placed second to Escudero in Sorsogon City.

ROUND 6 - Region VI Western Visayas Marcos -8  Robredo - 10

Marcos was knockdown for a second time. In Region VI and the Negros Island Region, Robredo won in all seven (7) provinces and 22 cities.  She garnered 2,237,358 votes for the two areas. Marcos got 498,301 votes for a Robredo lead of 1,739,057. She won in the provinces of Aklan, Antique, Capiz, Guimaras, Iloilo and the two Negros - Oriental and Occidental. She won in the cities of Roxas (in Capiz) and Iloilo and Passi Cities (in Iloilo). She also won in the 13 cities of Negros, Occidental, namely Bacolod, Bago, Cadiz, Escalante, Himamaylan, Kabankalan, La Carlota, Sigay, Silay, Sipalay, Talisay, Victorias, and San Carlos City (2^nd to Escudero). She also won in the six (6) cities of Negros Oriental: Bais, Bayawan, Canlaon, Dumaguete, Guihulngan, and Tanjay.

ROUND 7 – Region VII Central Visayas : Marcos -9 Robredo - 10

In Region VII, Robredo got 1,111,979 votes and won by 718,833 over Marcos who got 393,146 votes. She won over Marcos in all the three (3) provinces of Cebu, Bohol and Siquijor and in all 10 cities. She was number one in the cities of Tagbilaran (in Bohol), and Bogo, Lapu-Lapu, Naga and Toledo (in Cebu). She was second to Cayetano in the cities of Cebu, Carcar, Mandaue, Talisay (in Cebu). She was third while Marcos was fourth to Cayetano and Escudero in Danao City.

ROUND 8 – Region 8 Eastern Visayas:  Marcos -10 Robredo - 9

A close round. Marcos won in Region VIII, but actually led in only two out of six (6) provinces and two (2) out of seven cities.  Marcos got 724,537 and Robredo got 686,950 for a Marcos lead of 37,587 votes. Marcos won in the provinces of Leyte and Biliran and the cities of Tacloban (in Leyte) and Catbalogan (in W. Samar).  Leni won in the 3 Samar provinces - Northern, Eastern and Western, and Southern Leyte. She also won in the cities of Ormoc and Baybay (in Leyte), Borongan (in N. Samar), Calbayog (in W. Samar) and Maasin (in S. Leyte).

ROUND 9 - Zamboanga Peninsula (IX) and Northern Mindanao (X)  Marcos -9 Robredo - 10

Robredo won in Regions IX and X with a combined vote of 1,169,229 over Marcos’ 752,120 for a lead of 417,109. She won in two (2) of the three (3) provinces and three (3) of four (4) cities of the Zamboanga Peninsula (Reg. IX). She also won in four (4) out of five (5) provinces and six (6) out of nine (9) cities in Northern Mindanao (Reg. X). 

In Region IX (with a voting population of 1,931,795), Robredo won in the two provinces of Zamboanga del Norte and Zamboanga Sibugay and the cities of Dipolog (in Zambo N), Zamboanga and Pagadian (in Zambo Sur). Marcos won only in Zamboanga del Sur and the city of Dapitan (in Zambo N). In Region X (with a voting population of 2,541,331), Robredo won in the four provinces of Camiguin, Bukidnon, Misamis Oriental and Occidental. She was also tops in Malaybalay City (Bukidnon), the three cities of Misamis Occ., namely - Oroqueta, Ozamiz and Tangub, and the Mis. Or. cities of El Salvador and Gingoog. Marcos only had a small lead in Lanao del Norte and the cities of of Valencia (Bukidnon) and Cagayan de Oro (Mis Or). He is second to Cayetano in Iligan City (Lanao N.)

ROUND 10 – Region XI (Davao Region) and XII (Soccsksargen): Marcos -10 Robredo - 9

In the Davao Region (XI), the bailiwick of Duterte, Marcos won over Robredo in four (4) out of five (5) provinces and all six (6) cities. In Soccsksargen (XII), he also won in all four (4) provinces and three (3) out of four (4) cities. Marcos garnered 979,519 votes to Robredo’s 656,669 for a lead of 322,850.

In Region XI, Cayetano won in all provinces and cities, with the second and third spot being contested by Marcos and Robredo. Marcos won second in Davao Sur, D. Norte, D. Occidental and D. Oriental. He also got second place in the cities of Tagum, Samal and Panabo (in D. del N); Davao and Digos (in D. Sur) and Mati (in D. Oriental). Robredo got second in Compostela Valley province. In Region XII, Marcos won in the four provinces of North Cotabato, Sarangani, South Cotabato and Sultan Kudarat. He also won in the cities of Kidapawan (N. Cot.), General Santos (S. Cot.) and Tacurong (SK). Interestingly Robredo won in Koronadal City (S. Cot.). She also won in Cotabato City which is in Maguindanao but outside ARMM.

ROUND 11 – CARAGA (XIII) and ARMM:  Marcos -9 Robredo - 10

In the two regions, Robredo won over Marcos in eight (8) of ten (10) provinces and seven (7) of nine (9) cities. Robredo got 871,360 votes against Marcos’ 491,742 for a lead of 379,618. In Region XIII (a voting population of 1,547,093), Robredo placed first in the three provinces of Agusan Norte, Agusan Sur and Surigao Norte. She was second to Cayetano in Surigao Sur. She won in the cities of Tandag (S.Sur), Bayugan (A. Sur) and Surigao (S. Norte). She also placed second to Cayetano in the cities of Butuan (Agusan N) and Bislig (S. Sur). Marcos won only in Dinagat Island province and Cabarbaran City (Ag. N.). In ARMM (with a voting population of 1,863,230), Robredo led in 4 out of 5 provinces,namely Basilan, Lanao del Sur, Tawi Tawi and Maguindanao. She also won in Lamitan City (Basilan). Marcos won only in Sulu and Isabela City (Basilan).

ROUND 12 – Overseas/Local Absentee Voters Marcos -10 Robredo – 9

This is a Marcos round. Based on Comelec records for the OAV and LAV, Marcos got a total of 188,687 votes against Robredo of 92,380 for a lead of 96,307 votes. The breakdown for Marcos: 176,669 OAV and 12,018 LAV votes; for Robredo: 89,935 OAV and 2,445 LAV votes.